coin-spectrum.com/journal/bitcoin-shrinking-cycles
The 2021 flip: a Bitcoin cycle bottom fell below the previous peak.
In 2026, it's happening again.
| Event · months from cycle peak |
2021 cycle · Peak Nov 2021 |
2025 cycle · Peak Oct 2025 |
| Peak → first breach |
7 mo · Jun 2022 < $19.8k |
4 mo · Feb 2026 < $69k |
| Peak → deep low after breach |
7 mo · $17.6k intra |
8 mo · $58k intra |
| Peak → bounce peak |
8 mo · $23.4k · Jul 2022 |
~11 mo · $86k · Sep 2026 |
| Peak → confirmed bottom |
12 mo · $15.6k · Nov 2022 |
12–13 mo · projected Nov 2026 |
Only first-breach compressed. Everything from the deep low onward lands at matching months-from-peak.
@coinspectrum